YEARLY HIGH
0.6396 RUB
YEARLY LOW
0.4275 RUB
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.4712 RUB

2025 DJF to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2025

During 2025, the DJF to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 1, valuing the pair at 0.6396. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 4, dropping to 0.4275.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2120 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.5778 to the December average rate of 0.4424, the exchange rate registered a net change of -23.44% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2025 high of 0.6396 was down 0.01% compared to the 2024 peak of 0.6396, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 DJF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,198 RUB
2024 Average 2,610 RUB
Yearly Trough Low 2,138 RUB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,060.25 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2025.

0.5914
0.4288
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

DJF to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.4911, compared to 0.4514 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0398 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.4911
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.4514

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2025 was January, with a trading range of 0.0918 RUB (High: 0.6396 / Low: 0.5478). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0137 RUB (High: 0.4574 / Low: 0.4437).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0918
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0137

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0560 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0560

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2025: 0.5778) against the same month in 2024 (average: 0.5022), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0757 (+15.07%).

2025 Avg (January) 0.5778
2024 Avg (January) 0.5022

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.6396 0.5478 0.5778
February 0.5673 0.4872 0.5218
March 0.5086 0.4599 0.4840
April 0.4842 0.4567 0.4680
May 0.4637 0.4324 0.4523
June 0.4498 0.4343 0.4428
July 0.4575 0.4376 0.4436
August 0.4574 0.4437 0.4502
September 0.4751 0.4529 0.4665
October 0.4669 0.4428 0.4552
November 0.4579 0.4374 0.4503
December 0.4531 0.4275 0.4424