YEARLY HIGH
0.5698 RUB
YEARLY LOW
0.3720 RUB
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.4804 RUB

2023 DJF to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the DJF to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 6, valuing the pair at 0.5698. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 15, dropping to 0.3720.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1978 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.3936 to the December average rate of 0.5113, the exchange rate registered a net change of 29.89% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 0.5698 was down 28.59% compared to the 2022 peak of 0.7979, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 DJF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,849 RUB
2022 Average 1,963 RUB
Yearly Trough Low 1,860 RUB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 989.07 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

0.5609
0.3784
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

DJF to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.4344, compared to 0.5265 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0921 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.4344
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.5265

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was October, with a trading range of 0.0478 RUB (High: 0.5698 / Low: 0.5220). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0167 RUB (High: 0.4385 / Low: 0.4218).

October Spread (Volatile) ±0.0478
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0167

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0358 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0358

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2023: 0.5457) against the same month in 2022 (average: 0.3479), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1978 (+56.84%).

2023 Avg (October) 0.5457
2022 Avg (October) 0.3479

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.4146 0.3720 0.3936
February 0.4275 0.3932 0.4131
March 0.4385 0.4218 0.4298
April 0.4617 0.4360 0.4560
May 0.4571 0.4279 0.4451
June 0.4995 0.4521 0.4687
July 0.5191 0.4971 0.5100
August 0.5623 0.5189 0.5387
September 0.5539 0.5327 0.5434
October 0.5698 0.5220 0.5457
November 0.5258 0.4957 0.5099
December 0.5226 0.4952 0.5113