2019 DJF to RUB Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.4492 RUB

YEARLY LOW

0.3475 RUB

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.3636 RUB

2019 DJF to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the DJF to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 22, valuing the pair at 0.4492. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 25, dropping to 0.3475.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1018 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.3772 to the December average rate of 0.3531, the exchange rate registered a net change of -6.40% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 0.4492 was up 13.31% compared to the 2018 peak of 0.3965, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 DJF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,246 RUB

2018 Average 1,766 RUB

Yearly Trough Low 1,737 RUB

Transaction Impact: A difference of 508.97 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

0.3796

0.3507

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

DJF to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.3668, compared to 0.3605 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0063 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.3668

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.3605

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was January, with a trading range of 0.0817 RUB (High: 0.4492 / Low: 0.3676). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0052 RUB (High: 0.3616 / Low: 0.3564).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0817

November Spread (Stable) ±0.0052

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2019. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0077 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0077

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 0.3772) against the same month in 2018 (average: 0.3171), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0602 (+18.97%).

2019 Avg (January) 0.3772

2018 Avg (January) 0.3171

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.4492	0.3676	0.3772
February	0.3745	0.3673	0.3695
March	0.3730	0.3585	0.3665
April	0.3676	0.3578	0.3627
May	0.3678	0.3615	0.3646
June	0.3685	0.3514	0.3601
July	0.3586	0.3521	0.3553
August	0.3762	0.3613	0.3700
September	0.3752	0.3583	0.3647
October	0.3666	0.3577	0.3612
November	0.3616	0.3564	0.3586
December	0.3613	0.3475	0.3531