2014 DJF to RUB Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.3838 RUB

YEARLY LOW

0.1846 RUB

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.2160 RUB

2014 DJF to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the DJF to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 16, valuing the pair at 0.3838. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 1, dropping to 0.1846.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1992 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1893 to the December average rate of 0.3155, the exchange rate registered a net change of 66.64% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 0.3838 was up 104.11% compared to the 2013 peak of 0.1880, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 DJF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,919 RUB

2013 Average 897 RUB

Yearly Trough Low 923 RUB

Transaction Impact: A difference of 995.78 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

0.3281

0.1767

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

DJF to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1963, compared to 0.2357 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0394 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1963

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.2357

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was December, with a trading range of 0.0976 RUB (High: 0.3838 / Low: 0.2862). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0068 RUB (High: 0.2036 / Low: 0.1968).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.0976

April Spread (Stable) ±0.0068

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0046 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0046

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2014: 0.3155) against the same month in 2013 (average: 0.1845), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1310 (+71.01%).

2014 Avg (December) 0.3155

2013 Avg (December) 0.1845

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.1974	0.1846	0.1893
February	0.2027	0.1948	0.1980
March	0.2056	0.1974	0.2031
April	0.2036	0.1968	0.1997
May	0.2011	0.1909	0.1952
June	0.1960	0.1881	0.1923
July	0.1998	0.1895	0.1944
August	0.2077	0.1994	0.2023
September	0.2211	0.2065	0.2129
October	0.2419	0.2217	0.2290
November	0.2802	0.2411	0.2598
December	0.3838	0.2862	0.3155