2016 DJF to RUB Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.4627 RUB

YEARLY LOW

0.3387 RUB

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.3772 RUB

2016 DJF to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the DJF to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 21, valuing the pair at 0.4627. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 29, dropping to 0.3387.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1240 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.4309 to the December average rate of 0.3476, the exchange rate registered a net change of -19.32% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.4627 was up 12.12% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.4127, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 DJF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,313 RUB

2015 Average 1,724 RUB

Yearly Trough Low 1,693 RUB

Transaction Impact: A difference of 620.16 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.4433

0.3389

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

DJF to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.3951, compared to 0.3592 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0359 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.3951

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.3592

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 0.0519 RUB (High: 0.4627 / Low: 0.4108). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0059 RUB (High: 0.3556 / Low: 0.3496).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0519

October Spread (Stable) ±0.0059

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2016. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0413 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0413

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 0.4309) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.3603), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0706 (+19.59%).

2016 Avg (January) 0.4309

2015 Avg (January) 0.3603

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.4627	0.4108	0.4309
February	0.4484	0.4243	0.4346
March	0.4151	0.3778	0.3933
April	0.3858	0.3648	0.3748
May	0.3779	0.3652	0.3712
June	0.3766	0.3588	0.3661
July	0.3754	0.3549	0.3629
August	0.3777	0.3595	0.3658
September	0.3706	0.3542	0.3635
October	0.3556	0.3496	0.3525
November	0.3710	0.3558	0.3627
December	0.3595	0.3387	0.3476