2018 DJF to RUB Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.3965 RUB

YEARLY LOW

0.3135 RUB

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.3530 RUB

2018 DJF to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the DJF to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 10, valuing the pair at 0.3965. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 25, dropping to 0.3135.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0830 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.3171 to the December average rate of 0.3797, the exchange rate registered a net change of 19.77% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.3965 was up 15.01% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.3447, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 DJF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,982 RUB

2017 Average 1,631 RUB

Yearly Trough Low 1,567 RUB

Transaction Impact: A difference of 414.93 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.3860

0.3108

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

DJF to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.3345, compared to 0.3716 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0371 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.3345

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.3716

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was April, with a trading range of 0.0336 RUB (High: 0.3565 / Low: 0.3230). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0075 RUB (High: 0.3263 / Low: 0.3187).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.0336

March Spread (Stable) ±0.0075

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 8 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.0096 points.

Longest Streak 8 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0096

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2018: 0.3796) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.3225), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0571 (+17.72%).

2018 Avg (September) 0.3796

2017 Avg (September) 0.3225

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.3227	0.3135	0.3171
February	0.3292	0.3137	0.3203
March	0.3263	0.3187	0.3227
April	0.3565	0.3230	0.3436
May	0.3606	0.3436	0.3509
June	0.3587	0.3465	0.3526
July	0.3577	0.3470	0.3532
August	0.3832	0.3538	0.3731
September	0.3965	0.3683	0.3796
October	0.3759	0.3649	0.3700
November	0.3817	0.3685	0.3738
December	0.3909	0.3724	0.3797