YEARLY HIGH
0.7979 RUB
YEARLY LOW
0.2951 RUB
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.3926 RUB

2022 DJF to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2022

During 2022, the DJF to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 7, valuing the pair at 0.7979. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 29, dropping to 0.2951.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5029 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.4305 to the December average rate of 0.3734, the exchange rate registered a net change of -13.26% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2022 high of 0.7979 was up 83.25% compared to the 2021 peak of 0.4355, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 DJF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,990 RUB
2021 Average 2,070 RUB
Yearly Trough Low 1,475 RUB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,514.33 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2022.

0.6509
0.2935
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

DJF to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.4388, compared to 0.3464 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0924 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.4388
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.3464

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2022 was March, with a trading range of 0.3384 RUB (High: 0.7979 / Low: 0.4596). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0134 RUB (High: 0.3524 / Low: 0.3390).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.3384
November Spread (Stable) ±0.0134

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.1718 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1718

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2022: 0.6211) against the same month in 2021 (average: 0.4187), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2023 (+48.32%).

2022 Avg (March) 0.6211
2021 Avg (March) 0.4187

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.4452 0.4185 0.4305
February 0.5897 0.4200 0.4427
March 0.7979 0.4596 0.6211
April 0.4816 0.3992 0.4492
May 0.4121 0.3207 0.3663
June 0.3570 0.2951 0.3233
July 0.3668 0.3093 0.3346
August 0.3538 0.3333 0.3411
September 0.3659 0.3200 0.3379
October 0.3605 0.3269 0.3479
November 0.3524 0.3390 0.3437
December 0.4163 0.3401 0.3734