2020 DJF to RUB Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.4547 RUB

YEARLY LOW

0.3428 RUB

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.4061 RUB

2020 DJF to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the DJF to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 18, valuing the pair at 0.4547. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 12, dropping to 0.3428.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1120 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.3476 to the December average rate of 0.4156, the exchange rate registered a net change of 19.56% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 0.4547 was up 1.22% compared to the 2019 peak of 0.4492, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 DJF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,274 RUB

2019 Average 1,818 RUB

Yearly Trough Low 1,714 RUB

Transaction Impact: A difference of 559.78 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

0.4446

0.3388

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

DJF to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.3911, compared to 0.4211 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0301 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.3911

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.4211

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was March, with a trading range of 0.0827 RUB (High: 0.4547 / Low: 0.3720). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0156 RUB (High: 0.4249 / Low: 0.4093).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.0827

August Spread (Stable) ±0.0156

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0195 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0195

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2020: 0.4190) against the same month in 2019 (average: 0.3665), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0525 (+14.33%).

2020 Avg (March) 0.4190

2019 Avg (March) 0.3665

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.3594	0.3428	0.3476
February	0.3749	0.3532	0.3606
March	0.4547	0.3720	0.4190
April	0.4421	0.4103	0.4210
May	0.4238	0.3941	0.4089
June	0.3998	0.3827	0.3893
July	0.4178	0.3959	0.4017
August	0.4249	0.4093	0.4149
September	0.4449	0.4136	0.4272
October	0.4458	0.4280	0.4357
November	0.4526	0.4238	0.4317
December	0.4268	0.4103	0.4156