2015 DJF to RUB Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.4127 RUB

YEARLY LOW

0.2775 RUB

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.3448 RUB

2015 DJF to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the DJF to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 30, valuing the pair at 0.4127. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 18, dropping to 0.2775.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1352 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.3603 to the December average rate of 0.3943, the exchange rate registered a net change of 9.43% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 0.4127 was up 7.53% compared to the 2014 peak of 0.3838, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 DJF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,063 RUB

2014 Average 1,081 RUB

Yearly Trough Low 1,387 RUB

Transaction Impact: A difference of 676.13 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

0.4051

0.2752

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

DJF to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.3255, compared to 0.3640 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0386 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.3255

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.3640

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was January, with a trading range of 0.0622 RUB (High: 0.3909 / Low: 0.3287). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0186 RUB (High: 0.2961 / Low: 0.2775).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0622

May Spread (Stable) ±0.0186

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0400 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0400

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2015: 0.3943) against the same month in 2014 (average: 0.3155), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0787 (+24.96%).

2015 Avg (December) 0.3943

2014 Avg (December) 0.3155

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.3909	0.3287	0.3603
February	0.3934	0.3429	0.3610
March	0.3510	0.3227	0.3385
April	0.3251	0.2816	0.2985
May	0.2961	0.2775	0.2860
June	0.3177	0.2984	0.3086
July	0.3444	0.3127	0.3230
August	0.3971	0.3459	0.3682
September	0.3884	0.3685	0.3769
October	0.3726	0.3460	0.3553
November	0.3764	0.3543	0.3667
December	0.4127	0.3750	0.3943