2012 ETB to DJF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

10.3474 DJF

YEARLY LOW

9.7064 DJF

YEARLY AVERAGE

10.0386 DJF

2012 ETB to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the ETB to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 5, valuing the pair at 10.3474. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 27, dropping to 9.7064.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.6409 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 10.3035 to the December average rate of 9.7494, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.38% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 10.3474 was down 26.00% compared to the 2011 peak of 13.9821, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ETB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 51,737 DJF

2011 Average 56,696 DJF

Yearly Trough Low 48,532 DJF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,204.70 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

10.3589

9.6940

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ETB to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 10.2236, compared to 9.8536 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.3700 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 10.2236

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 9.8536

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was September, with a trading range of 0.1516 DJF (High: 9.9921 / Low: 9.8404). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0526 DJF (High: 9.9366 / Low: 9.8840).

September Spread (Volatile) ±0.1516

August Spread (Stable) ±0.0526

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2012. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.1540 points.

Longest Streak 0 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1540

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2012: 10.3035) against the same month in 2011 (average: 13.9644), the exchange rate shifted by -3.6609 (-26.22%).

2012 Avg (January) 10.3035

2011 Avg (January) 13.9644

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	10.3474	10.2690	10.3035
February	10.3043	10.2389	10.2751
March	10.3009	10.1651	10.2449
April	10.3111	10.1879	10.2398
May	10.2382	10.1184	10.1735
June	10.1639	10.0566	10.1048
July	10.0223	9.8955	9.9508
August	9.9366	9.8840	9.9106
September	9.9921	9.8404	9.8836
October	9.8834	9.7946	9.8323
November	9.8390	9.7651	9.7949
December	9.8022	9.7064	9.7494