YEARLY HIGH
1.4221 DJF
YEARLY LOW
1.1397 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.2867 DJF

2025 ETB to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2025

During 2025, the ETB to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 6, valuing the pair at 1.4221. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 13, dropping to 1.1397.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2824 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.3995 to the December average rate of 1.1445, the exchange rate registered a net change of -18.22% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2025 high of 1.4221 was down 55.23% compared to the 2024 peak of 3.1767, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ETB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 7,111 DJF
2024 Average 12,251 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 5,698 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,412.05 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2025.

1.4250
1.1190
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ETB to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.3577, compared to 1.2156 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1421 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.3577
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.2156

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2025 was October, with a trading range of 0.0809 DJF (High: 1.2318 / Low: 1.1510). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0117 DJF (High: 1.1514 / Low: 1.1397).

October Spread (Volatile) ±0.0809
December Spread (Stable) ±0.0117

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2025. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0438 points.

Longest Streak 0 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0438

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2025: 1.3669) against the same month in 2024 (average: 3.1333), the exchange rate shifted by -1.7664 (-56.38%).

2025 Avg (March) 1.3669
2024 Avg (March) 3.1333

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.4204 1.3825 1.3995
February 1.4137 1.3852 1.3985
March 1.4221 1.3503 1.3669
April 1.3697 1.3253 1.3483
May 1.3421 1.3000 1.3224
June 1.3263 1.2924 1.3108
July 1.3131 1.2796 1.2917
August 1.2904 1.2424 1.2672
September 1.2539 1.2199 1.2378
October 1.2318 1.1510 1.1981
November 1.1661 1.1425 1.1543
December 1.1514 1.1397 1.1445