YEARLY HIGH
3.1767 DJF
YEARLY LOW
1.3901 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
2.4522 DJF

2024 ETB to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2024

During 2024, the ETB to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 7, valuing the pair at 3.1767. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 31, dropping to 1.3901.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.7866 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.1531 to the December average rate of 1.4045, the exchange rate registered a net change of -55.46% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2024 high of 3.1767 was down 5.09% compared to the 2023 peak of 3.3472, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ETB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 15,884 DJF
2023 Average 16,246 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 6,951 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 8,933.08 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2024.

3.3280
1.2296
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ETB to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.1242, compared to 1.7803 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.3438 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.1242
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.7803

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2024 was July, with a trading range of 0.7491 DJF (High: 3.1059 / Low: 2.3568). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0245 DJF (High: 3.1492 / Low: 3.1247).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.7491
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0245

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2024. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 1.3118 points.

Longest Streak 0 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.3118

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2024: 3.1531) against the same month in 2023 (average: 3.3139), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1608 (-4.85%).

2024 Avg (January) 3.1531
2023 Avg (January) 3.3139

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.1767 3.1413 3.1531
February 3.1679 3.1327 3.1425
March 3.1492 3.1247 3.1333
April 3.1416 3.0997 3.1247
May 3.1181 3.0743 3.0993
June 3.1223 3.0756 3.0921
July 3.1059 2.3568 3.0596
August 2.2555 1.5767 1.7477
September 1.6131 1.4844 1.5418
October 1.5018 1.4573 1.4776
November 1.4827 1.4057 1.4508
December 1.4326 1.3901 1.4045