YEARLY HIGH
8.8327 DJF
YEARLY LOW
8.3775 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
8.5890 DJF

2015 ETB to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the ETB to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 3, valuing the pair at 8.8327. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 28, dropping to 8.3775.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4551 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 8.7857 to the December average rate of 8.4147, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.22% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 8.8327 was down 5.99% compared to the 2014 peak of 9.3952, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ETB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 44,163 DJF
2014 Average 45,379 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 41,888 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,275.69 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

8.8228
8.3776
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ETB to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 8.6942, compared to 8.4838 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2104 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 8.6942
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 8.4838

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was January, with a trading range of 0.1094 DJF (High: 8.8327 / Low: 8.7232). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0456 DJF (High: 8.5717 / Low: 8.5261).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.1094
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0456

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2015. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0474 points.

Longest Streak 0 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0474

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2015: 8.7857) against the same month in 2014 (average: 9.2888), the exchange rate shifted by -0.5031 (-5.42%).

2015 Avg (January) 8.7857
2014 Avg (January) 9.2888

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 8.8327 8.7232 8.7857
February 8.8043 8.7314 8.7667
March 8.7694 8.6879 8.7197
April 8.7359 8.6475 8.6771
May 8.6659 8.5931 8.6297
June 8.6259 8.5487 8.5860
July 8.5717 8.5261 8.5568
August 8.5637 8.5072 8.5354
September 8.5233 8.4651 8.4952
October 8.5134 8.4129 8.4659
November 8.4583 8.4074 8.4346
December 8.4851 8.3775 8.4147