2013 ETB to DJF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

9.7551 DJF

YEARLY LOW

9.2729 DJF

YEARLY AVERAGE

9.4888 DJF

2013 ETB to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the ETB to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 7, valuing the pair at 9.7551. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 29, dropping to 9.2729.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4823 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 9.6978 to the December average rate of 9.3240, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.86% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 9.7551 was down 5.72% compared to the 2012 peak of 10.3474, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ETB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 48,776 DJF

2012 Average 50,188 DJF

Yearly Trough Low 46,364 DJF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,411.50 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

9.7352

9.2866

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ETB to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 9.5895, compared to 9.3880 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2015 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 9.5895

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 9.3880

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was March, with a trading range of 0.1570 DJF (High: 9.7300 / Low: 9.5729). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0398 DJF (High: 9.3504 / Low: 9.3107).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.1570

November Spread (Stable) ±0.0398

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2013. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.0541 points.

Longest Streak 0 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0541

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2013: 9.6978) against the same month in 2012 (average: 10.3035), the exchange rate shifted by -0.6057 (-5.88%).

2013 Avg (January) 9.6978

2012 Avg (January) 10.3035

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	9.7551	9.6623	9.6978
February	9.6885	9.5935	9.6457
March	9.7300	9.5729	9.6114
April	9.5980	9.5327	9.5628
May	9.5540	9.4905	9.5242
June	9.5450	9.4358	9.4952
July	9.4934	9.4351	9.4699
August	9.4800	9.4008	9.4356
September	9.4608	9.3778	9.4115
October	9.4324	9.3017	9.3575
November	9.3504	9.3107	9.3296
December	9.3775	9.2729	9.3240