YEARLY HIGH
5.6230 DJF
YEARLY LOW
4.5233 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.1152 DJF

2020 ETB to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the ETB to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 3, valuing the pair at 5.6230. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 31, dropping to 4.5233.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.0997 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.5531 to the December average rate of 4.6002, the exchange rate registered a net change of -17.16% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 5.6230 was down 11.23% compared to the 2019 peak of 6.3346, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ETB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 28,115 DJF
2019 Average 30,480 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 22,616 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 5,498.38 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

5.6484
4.5049
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ETB to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.3994, compared to 4.8310 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.5684 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.3994
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.8310

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was August, with a trading range of 0.1648 DJF (High: 5.0901 / Low: 4.9252). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0463 DJF (High: 5.5708 / Low: 5.5245).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.1648
January Spread (Stable) ±0.0463

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2020. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.1201 points.

Longest Streak 0 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1201

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2020: 5.5466) against the same month in 2019 (average: 6.2521), the exchange rate shifted by -0.7055 (-11.28%).

2020 Avg (February) 5.5466
2019 Avg (February) 6.2521

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.5708 5.5245 5.5531
February 5.6230 5.4833 5.5466
March 5.5042 5.3904 5.4596
April 5.4746 5.3275 5.3866
May 5.3604 5.2029 5.2755
June 5.2331 5.0794 5.1751
July 5.1177 5.0425 5.0599
August 5.0901 4.9252 4.9797
September 4.9388 4.8332 4.8596
October 4.8401 4.6871 4.7850
November 4.8056 4.6576 4.7016
December 4.6593 4.5233 4.6002