2018 ETB to DJF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

6.5546 DJF

YEARLY LOW

6.2566 DJF

YEARLY AVERAGE

6.4278 DJF

2018 ETB to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the ETB to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 16, valuing the pair at 6.5546. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 28, dropping to 6.2566.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2980 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.5098 to the December average rate of 6.3137, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.01% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 6.5546 was down 17.96% compared to the 2017 peak of 7.9899, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ETB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 32,773 DJF

2017 Average 37,488 DJF

Yearly Trough Low 31,283 DJF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,489.86 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

6.5294

6.2941

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ETB to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 6.4596, compared to 6.3961 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0635 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 6.4596

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 6.3961

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was December, with a trading range of 0.1341 DJF (High: 6.3906 / Low: 6.2566). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0384 DJF (High: 6.4587 / Low: 6.4203).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.1341

April Spread (Stable) ±0.0384

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0531 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0531

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 6.5098) against the same month in 2017 (average: 7.9204), the exchange rate shifted by -1.4106 (-17.81%).

2018 Avg (January) 6.5098

2017 Avg (January) 7.9204

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	6.5546	6.4684	6.5098
February	6.5135	6.4200	6.4567
March	6.4649	6.4205	6.4388
April	6.4587	6.4203	6.4370
May	6.4753	6.4184	6.4557
June	6.4922	6.4453	6.4594
July	6.4956	6.4098	6.4547
August	6.4755	6.4151	6.4414
September	6.4661	6.3680	6.4225
October	6.4534	6.3345	6.3858
November	6.4276	6.3233	6.3584
December	6.3906	6.2566	6.3137