YEARLY HIGH
7.9899 DJF
YEARLY LOW
6.4889 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
7.5001 DJF

2017 ETB to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2017

During 2017, the ETB to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 9, valuing the pair at 7.9899. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 18, dropping to 6.4889.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.5010 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 7.9204 to the December average rate of 6.5342, the exchange rate registered a net change of -17.50% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2017 high of 7.9899 was down 4.77% compared to the 2016 peak of 8.3901, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ETB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 39,950 DJF
2016 Average 40,696 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 32,445 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 7,505.00 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2017.

8.0590
6.3956
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ETB to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 7.8373, compared to 7.1628 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.6744 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 7.8373
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 7.1628

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2017 was October, with a trading range of 1.0916 DJF (High: 7.6280 / Low: 6.5364). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1038 DJF (High: 6.6115 / Low: 6.5078).

October Spread (Volatile) ±1.0916
November Spread (Stable) ±0.1038

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2017. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.6592 points.

Longest Streak 0 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.6592

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2017: 7.9204) against the same month in 2016 (average: 8.3629), the exchange rate shifted by -0.4425 (-5.29%).

2017 Avg (January) 7.9204
2016 Avg (January) 8.3629

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 7.9899 7.8668 7.9204
February 7.9855 7.8290 7.8920
March 7.9432 7.7893 7.8706
April 7.8756 7.7665 7.8231
May 7.8315 7.7139 7.7756
June 7.8010 7.6682 7.7418
July 7.8130 7.6284 7.6935
August 7.7187 7.5980 7.6516
September 7.6745 7.5415 7.6036
October 7.6280 6.5364 6.9444
November 6.6115 6.5078 6.5497
December 6.5991 6.4889 6.5342