YEARLY HIGH
8.3901 DJF
YEARLY LOW
7.9002 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
8.1398 DJF

2016 ETB to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the ETB to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 13, valuing the pair at 8.3901. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 28, dropping to 7.9002.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4899 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 8.3629 to the December average rate of 7.9688, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.71% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 8.3901 was down 5.01% compared to the 2015 peak of 8.8327, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ETB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 41,950 DJF
2015 Average 42,940 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 39,501 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,449.36 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

8.4023
7.9294
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ETB to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 8.2645, compared to 8.0151 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2494 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 8.2645
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 8.0151

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was December, with a trading range of 0.1417 DJF (High: 8.0420 / Low: 7.9002). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0451 DJF (High: 8.2665 / Low: 8.2214).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.1417
April Spread (Stable) ±0.0451

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2016. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.0730 points.

Longest Streak 0 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0730

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 8.3629) against the same month in 2015 (average: 8.7857), the exchange rate shifted by -0.4228 (-4.81%).

2016 Avg (January) 8.3629
2015 Avg (January) 8.7857

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 8.3901 8.2981 8.3629
February 8.3766 8.2890 8.3343
March 8.3392 8.2604 8.3074
April 8.2665 8.2214 8.2423
May 8.2467 8.1257 8.1900
June 8.1854 8.1078 8.1502
July 8.1176 8.0232 8.0772
August 8.0611 7.9966 8.0389
September 8.0509 8.0008 8.0265
October 8.0442 7.9701 8.0034
November 8.0090 7.9544 7.9759
December 8.0420 7.9002 7.9688