YEARLY HIGH
3.3472 DJF
YEARLY LOW
3.1514 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.2495 DJF

2023 ETB to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the ETB to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 4, valuing the pair at 3.3472. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 26, dropping to 3.1514.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1959 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.3139 to the December average rate of 3.1713, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.30% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 3.3472 was down 7.44% compared to the 2022 peak of 3.6165, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ETB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 16,736 DJF
2022 Average 17,144 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 15,757 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 979.25 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

3.3282
3.1571
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ETB to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.2906, compared to 3.2084 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0822 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.2906
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.2084

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was December, with a trading range of 0.0582 DJF (High: 3.2096 / Low: 3.1514). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0233 DJF (High: 3.3254 / Low: 3.3022).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.0582
January Spread (Stable) ±0.0233

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2023. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0262 points.

Longest Streak 0 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0262

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2023: 3.3139) against the same month in 2022 (average: 3.5232), the exchange rate shifted by -0.2093 (-5.94%).

2023 Avg (February) 3.3139
2022 Avg (February) 3.5232

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.3254 3.3022 3.3139
February 3.3472 3.2891 3.3139
March 3.3226 3.2986 3.3051
April 3.3035 3.2454 3.2789
May 3.2882 3.2562 3.2710
June 3.2822 3.2382 3.2607
July 3.2595 3.2254 3.2405
August 3.2676 3.2172 3.2299
September 3.2398 3.2153 3.2238
October 3.2191 3.1779 3.1983
November 3.2058 3.1655 3.1866
December 3.2096 3.1514 3.1713