2011 GEL to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1739.1988 UGX

YEARLY LOW

1264.2862 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

1499.6615 UGX

2011 GEL to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the GEL to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 12, valuing the pair at 1739.1988. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 30, dropping to 1264.2862.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 474.9126 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1296.7690 to the December average rate of 1476.6173, the exchange rate registered a net change of 13.87% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 1739.1988 was up 31.78% compared to the 2010 peak of 1319.8024, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 8,695,994 UGX

2010 Average 6,093,208 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 6,321,431 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,374,562.81 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

1734.0789

1257.0136

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1392.5249, compared to 1606.7981 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 214.2732 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1392.5249

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1606.7981

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was October, with a trading range of 177.2101 UGX (High: 1739.1988 / Low: 1561.9886). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 42.8429 UGX (High: 1451.7060 / Low: 1408.8631).

October Spread (Volatile) ±177.2101

May Spread (Stable) ±42.8429

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 8 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 132.0296 points.

Longest Streak 8 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -132.0296

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2011: 1688.5048) against the same month in 2010 (average: 1262.8028), the exchange rate shifted by +425.7021 (+33.71%).

2011 Avg (October) 1688.5048

2010 Avg (October) 1262.8028

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1323.1553	1264.2862	1296.7690
February	1355.2760	1281.5117	1323.3011
March	1424.2894	1369.3368	1401.4695
April	1452.0516	1398.5353	1425.5330
May	1451.7060	1408.8631	1425.7477
June	1606.4383	1435.7145	1482.3291
July	1580.0645	1525.5521	1554.4300
August	1719.7934	1581.7786	1670.4377
September	1730.4454	1669.9032	1694.3235
October	1739.1988	1561.9886	1688.5048
November	1589.8009	1510.7615	1556.4752
December	1536.1644	1426.7851	1476.6173