2013 GEL to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1639.4308 UGX

YEARLY LOW

1432.6571 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

1554.3641 UGX

2013 GEL to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the GEL to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 8, valuing the pair at 1639.4308. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 28, dropping to 1432.6571.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 206.7737 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1618.0250 to the December average rate of 1450.2872, the exchange rate registered a net change of -10.37% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 1639.4308 was up 0.85% compared to the 2012 peak of 1625.6278, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 8,197,154 UGX

2012 Average 7,504,390 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 7,163,286 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,033,868.45 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

1634.7988

1433.5134

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1585.6947, compared to 1523.0336 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 62.6612 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1585.6947

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1523.0336

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was December, with a trading range of 57.8191 UGX (High: 1490.4762 / Low: 1432.6571). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 16.8407 UGX (High: 1569.6768 / Low: 1552.8361).

December Spread (Volatile) ±57.8191

July Spread (Stable) ±16.8407

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2013. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 52.2921 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -52.2921

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2013: 1618.0250) against the same month in 2012 (average: 1444.8751), the exchange rate shifted by +173.1500 (+11.98%).

2013 Avg (January) 1618.0250

2012 Avg (January) 1444.8751

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1639.4308	1604.4180	1618.0250
February	1623.1647	1591.8885	1606.0983
March	1607.4578	1562.0749	1588.8476
April	1580.5243	1526.8718	1558.4136
May	1597.2703	1552.6994	1575.8072
June	1577.9240	1545.5514	1566.9767
July	1569.6768	1552.8361	1563.9414
August	1563.6683	1543.2748	1552.3690
September	1561.7083	1530.4226	1546.5497
October	1538.0356	1509.6883	1522.4748
November	1510.9816	1490.1850	1502.5793
December	1490.4762	1432.6571	1450.2872