2018 GEL to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1592.0626 UGX

YEARLY LOW

1384.6993 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

1500.6569 UGX

2018 GEL to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the GEL to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 21, valuing the pair at 1592.0626. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 16, dropping to 1384.6993.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 207.3634 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1423.2031 to the December average rate of 1394.9709, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.98% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 1592.0626 was up 4.36% compared to the 2017 peak of 1525.5301, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 7,960,313 UGX

2017 Average 7,247,536 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 6,923,496 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,036,816.87 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

1580.6455

1378.0913

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1499.3087, compared to 1502.0051 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 2.6964 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1499.3087

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1502.0051

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was November, with a trading range of 137.1345 UGX (High: 1535.6045 / Low: 1398.4700). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 26.1771 UGX (High: 1410.8763 / Low: 1384.6993).

November Spread (Volatile) ±137.1345

December Spread (Stable) ±26.1771

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 84.2387 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -84.2387

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2018: 1563.7660) against the same month in 2017 (average: 1489.0140), the exchange rate shifted by +74.7520 (+5.02%).

2018 Avg (June) 1563.7660

2017 Avg (June) 1489.0140

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1474.3090	1402.0373	1423.2031
February	1490.7361	1463.9848	1479.7495
March	1516.4382	1478.6337	1494.0301
April	1526.4402	1499.8062	1516.2068
May	1539.7312	1507.3051	1518.8968
June	1592.0626	1530.6224	1563.7660
July	1591.7451	1504.8023	1534.7587
August	1530.6367	1499.4271	1511.6030
September	1564.1270	1517.2282	1547.9828
October	1562.9980	1530.6610	1543.5059
November	1535.6045	1398.4700	1479.2095
December	1410.8763	1384.6993	1394.9709