2017 GEL to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1525.5301 UGX

YEARLY LOW

1312.9327 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

1448.9970 UGX

2017 GEL to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2017

During 2017, the GEL to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 16, valuing the pair at 1525.5301. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 5, dropping to 1312.9327.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 212.5974 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1340.5742 to the December average rate of 1383.1456, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.18% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2017 high of 1525.5301 was down 3.36% compared to the 2016 peak of 1578.6000, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 7,627,651 UGX

2016 Average 7,242,297 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 6,564,663 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,062,987.24 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2017.

1524.0394

1323.8955

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1442.4484, compared to 1455.5455 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 13.0970 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1442.4484

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1455.5455

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2017 was November, with a trading range of 129.5845 UGX (High: 1466.7376 / Low: 1337.1531). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 21.3801 UGX (High: 1502.0092 / Low: 1480.6291).

November Spread (Volatile) ±129.5845

June Spread (Stable) ±21.3801

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 51.5743 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -51.5743

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2017: 1504.8519) against the same month in 2016 (average: 1481.3448), the exchange rate shifted by +23.5071 (+1.59%).

2017 Avg (April) 1504.8519

2016 Avg (April) 1481.3448

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1368.0821	1312.9327	1340.5742
February	1404.8830	1325.2669	1362.3652
March	1490.4881	1437.0421	1463.3125
April	1525.5301	1471.7740	1504.8519
May	1509.6392	1481.7457	1494.5729
June	1502.0092	1480.6291	1489.0140
July	1515.3907	1485.0189	1504.6158
August	1522.4225	1475.1034	1507.3607
September	1484.3205	1449.2660	1464.9627
October	1476.1876	1431.9919	1462.3812
November	1466.7376	1337.1531	1410.8068
December	1432.9048	1340.6862	1383.1456