2014 GEL to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1576.1531 UGX

YEARLY LOW

1392.0000 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

1475.3600 UGX

2014 GEL to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the GEL to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 18, valuing the pair at 1576.1531. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 23, dropping to 1392.0000.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 184.1531 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1418.7087 to the December average rate of 1552.0832, the exchange rate registered a net change of 9.40% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 1576.1531 was down 3.86% compared to the 2013 peak of 1639.4308, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 7,880,766 UGX

2013 Average 7,770,283 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 6,960,000 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 920,765.67 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

1566.4666

1393.8656

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1433.9144, compared to 1516.8056 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 82.8911 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1433.9144

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1516.8056

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was December, with a trading range of 70.4649 UGX (High: 1576.1531 / Low: 1505.6882). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 15.8648 UGX (High: 1444.8670 / Low: 1429.0021).

December Spread (Volatile) ±70.4649

May Spread (Stable) ±15.8648

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 10.7768 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -10.7768

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2014: 1552.0832) against the same month in 2013 (average: 1450.2872), the exchange rate shifted by +101.7960 (+7.02%).

2014 Avg (December) 1552.0832

2013 Avg (December) 1450.2872

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1447.7340	1392.0000	1418.7087
February	1442.1376	1394.4790	1408.2490
March	1463.7616	1435.9021	1447.4496
April	1461.0338	1421.7954	1436.6728
May	1444.8670	1429.0021	1434.6874
June	1476.5698	1439.2505	1457.7191
July	1510.2644	1474.9201	1494.5806
August	1504.9014	1488.7911	1497.2206
September	1509.7114	1485.7316	1494.2804
October	1544.4847	1503.0566	1521.9234
November	1553.6840	1525.7928	1540.7452
December	1576.1531	1505.6882	1552.0832