YEARLY HIGH
1490.7892 UGX
YEARLY LOW
1282.9358 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
1383.0291 UGX

2024 GEL to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2024

During 2024, the GEL to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 26, valuing the pair at 1490.7892. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 3, dropping to 1282.9358.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 207.8534 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1421.8257 to the December average rate of 1301.7863, the exchange rate registered a net change of -8.44% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2024 high of 1490.7892 was down 0.81% compared to the 2023 peak of 1502.9095, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 7,453,946 UGX
2023 Average 7,099,174 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 6,414,679 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,039,267.10 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2024.

1475.6476
1285.9807
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1415.7445, compared to 1350.3137 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 65.4308 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1415.7445
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1350.3137

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2024 was May, with a trading range of 91.4306 UGX (High: 1423.8409 / Low: 1332.4103). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 19.0230 UGX (High: 1351.9833 / Low: 1332.9602).

May Spread (Volatile) ±91.4306
October Spread (Stable) ±19.0230

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 66.1950 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -66.1950

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2024: 1459.8420) against the same month in 2023 (average: 1395.2266), the exchange rate shifted by +64.6154 (+4.63%).

2024 Avg (February) 1459.8420
2023 Avg (February) 1395.2266

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1437.1290 1403.7343 1421.8257
February 1490.7892 1428.9276 1459.8420
March 1483.7906 1429.2344 1456.1438
April 1445.0465 1415.3527 1427.7494
May 1423.8409 1332.4103 1397.5505
June 1371.9797 1291.2498 1331.3555
July 1381.5399 1321.2363 1354.9437
August 1392.2815 1364.8044 1380.1646
September 1387.0697 1348.8373 1373.2516
October 1351.9833 1332.9602 1346.1319
November 1357.5037 1309.6596 1345.6041
December 1311.5701 1282.9358 1301.7863