2015 GEL to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1712.1127 UGX

YEARLY LOW

1266.7070 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

1476.1179 UGX

2015 GEL to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the GEL to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 11, valuing the pair at 1712.1127. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 15, dropping to 1266.7070.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 445.4058 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1615.1973 to the December average rate of 1403.9381, the exchange rate registered a net change of -13.08% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 1712.1127 was up 8.63% compared to the 2014 peak of 1576.1531, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 8,560,564 UGX

2014 Average 7,379,175 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 6,333,535 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,227,028.80 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

1659.1510

1263.4868

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1469.8965, compared to 1482.3394 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 12.4429 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1469.8965

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1482.3394

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was March, with a trading range of 390.8268 UGX (High: 1712.1127 / Low: 1321.2860). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 20.0198 UGX (High: 1641.0818 / Low: 1621.0620).

March Spread (Volatile) ±390.8268

February Spread (Stable) ±20.0198

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 220.3873 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -220.3873

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2015: 1545.2639) against the same month in 2014 (average: 1447.4496), the exchange rate shifted by +97.8143 (+6.76%).

2015 Avg (March) 1545.2639

2014 Avg (March) 1447.4496

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1643.4306	1573.4834	1615.1973
February	1641.0818	1621.0620	1626.1790
March	1712.1127	1321.2860	1545.2639
April	1335.5911	1288.3015	1324.8767
May	1326.7214	1266.7070	1296.4588
June	1470.8273	1329.5354	1411.4032
July	1573.7897	1450.4348	1484.5588
August	1548.5013	1471.6570	1525.1348
September	1555.4819	1487.2572	1527.7986
October	1547.7509	1484.8081	1524.8466
November	1485.6466	1397.0136	1427.7594
December	1440.0869	1381.2141	1403.9381