2026 GEL to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1436.4982 UGX

YEARLY LOW

1285.5648 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

1383.3499 UGX

2026 GEL to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the GEL to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 26, valuing the pair at 1436.4982. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 20, dropping to 1285.5648.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 150.9333 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1325.3554 to the December average rate of 1431.6798, the exchange rate registered a net change of 8.02% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 1436.4982 was up 6.03% compared to the 2025 peak of 1354.8521, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 7,182,491 UGX

2025 Average 6,575,400 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 6,427,824 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 754,666.57 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

1442.3122

1314.7229

JanuMarcMayJuly

GEL to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1371.2686, compared to 1419.5937 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 48.3251 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1371.2686

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1419.5937

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was March, with a trading range of 63.6337 UGX (High: 1406.5962 / Low: 1342.9625). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 5.6469 UGX (High: 1434.5650 / Low: 1428.9181).

March Spread (Volatile) ±63.6337

August Spread (Stable) ±5.6469

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 11.4805 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -11.4805

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2026: 1407.5077) against the same month in 2025 (average: 1322.8145), the exchange rate shifted by +84.6932 (+6.40%).

2026 Avg (July) 1407.5077

2025 Avg (July) 1322.8145

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1345.8861	1285.5648	1325.3554
February	1349.5431	1314.5303	1328.9129
March	1406.5962	1342.9625	1376.6991
April	1401.5152	1368.2211	1382.7341
May	1419.3214	1394.5219	1412.6955
June	1422.1368	1372.9410	1401.2149
July	1436.4982	1385.5933	1407.5077
August	1434.5650	1428.9181	1431.6798