2012 GEL to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1625.6278 UGX

YEARLY LOW

1384.3005 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

1500.6015 UGX

2012 GEL to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the GEL to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 29, valuing the pair at 1625.6278. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 7, dropping to 1384.3005.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 241.3273 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1444.8751 to the December average rate of 1610.8359, the exchange rate registered a net change of 11.49% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 1625.6278 was down 6.53% compared to the 2011 peak of 1739.1988, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 8,128,139 UGX

2011 Average 7,503,363 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 6,921,503 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,206,636.51 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

1631.0478

1388.5055

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1489.1474, compared to 1512.0557 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 22.9083 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1489.1474

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1512.0557

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was February, with a trading range of 96.2658 UGX (High: 1480.5663 / Low: 1384.3005). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 25.1767 UGX (High: 1460.9253 / Low: 1435.7485).

February Spread (Volatile) ±96.2658

August Spread (Stable) ±25.1767

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 78.7625 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -78.7625

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2012: 1576.6866) against the same month in 2011 (average: 1556.4752), the exchange rate shifted by +20.2114 (+1.30%).

2012 Avg (November) 1576.6866

2011 Avg (November) 1556.4752

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1485.0998	1391.4547	1444.8751
February	1480.5663	1384.3005	1408.7173
March	1540.7639	1480.0414	1504.0048
April	1545.5547	1508.1906	1530.4593
May	1542.6432	1502.3371	1525.0757
June	1539.7131	1505.0943	1521.7519
July	1482.8003	1425.7793	1442.9894
August	1460.9253	1435.7485	1444.4023
September	1479.8562	1443.5229	1456.0804
October	1564.9501	1470.5933	1541.3396
November	1625.6278	1556.3403	1576.6866
December	1622.4987	1596.6680	1610.8359