YEARLY HIGH
1354.8521 UGX
YEARLY LOW
1259.2752 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
1315.0596 UGX

2025 GEL to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2025

During 2025, the GEL to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 13, valuing the pair at 1354.8521. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 11, dropping to 1259.2752.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 95.5769 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1298.3158 to the December average rate of 1327.1477, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.22% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2025 high of 1354.8521 was down 9.12% compared to the 2024 peak of 1490.7892, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 6,774,260 UGX
2024 Average 6,913,787 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 6,296,376 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 477,884.55 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2025.

1339.5446
1271.0441
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1319.2496, compared to 1310.8697 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 8.3799 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1319.2496
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1310.8697

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2025 was November, with a trading range of 75.7476 UGX (High: 1354.8521 / Low: 1279.1045). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 8.9315 UGX (High: 1337.1173 / Low: 1328.1857).

November Spread (Volatile) ±75.7476
May Spread (Stable) ±8.9315

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 23.0139 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -23.0139

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2025: 1318.1385) against the same month in 2024 (average: 1345.6041), the exchange rate shifted by -27.4656 (-2.04%).

2025 Avg (November) 1318.1385
2024 Avg (November) 1345.6041

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1317.1576 1278.6556 1298.3158
February 1327.0533 1284.4545 1308.1186
March 1323.8550 1305.4021 1319.5288
April 1351.5585 1313.0941 1332.9326
May 1337.1173 1328.1857 1333.8362
June 1331.9797 1310.7974 1322.7656
July 1328.8701 1318.3988 1322.8145
August 1327.2743 1306.0068 1320.5986
September 1315.4385 1288.2845 1299.7664
October 1297.9249 1259.2752 1276.7525
November 1354.8521 1279.1045 1318.1385
December 1347.8566 1312.1565 1327.1477