2018 HNL to RUB Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

2.9375 RUB

YEARLY LOW

2.3533 RUB

YEARLY AVERAGE

2.6246 RUB

2018 HNL to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the HNL to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 10, valuing the pair at 2.9375. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 26, dropping to 2.3533.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5842 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.3979 to the December average rate of 2.7867, the exchange rate registered a net change of 16.21% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 2.9375 was up 11.49% compared to the 2017 peak of 2.6347, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 HNL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 14,688 RUB

2017 Average 12,424 RUB

Yearly Trough Low 11,767 RUB

Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,921.23 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

2.8520

2.3567

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HNL to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.5057, compared to 2.7436 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.2379 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.5057

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.7436

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was April, with a trading range of 0.2446 RUB (High: 2.6610 / Low: 2.4164). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0559 RUB (High: 2.4466 / Low: 2.3906).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.2446

March Spread (Stable) ±0.0559

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.0752 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0752

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2018: 2.8107) against the same month in 2017 (average: 2.4596), the exchange rate shifted by +0.3512 (+14.28%).

2018 Avg (September) 2.8107

2017 Avg (September) 2.4596

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	2.4413	2.3701	2.3979
February	2.4805	2.3533	2.4097
March	2.4466	2.3906	2.4179
April	2.6610	2.4164	2.5674
May	2.6962	2.5701	2.6219
June	2.6593	2.5771	2.6192
July	2.6512	2.5771	2.6208
August	2.8423	2.6225	2.7667
September	2.9375	2.7226	2.8107
October	2.7833	2.6973	2.7356
November	2.8126	2.6937	2.7411
December	2.9218	2.7178	2.7867