YEARLY HIGH
4.1136 RUB
YEARLY LOW
2.6831 RUB
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.4642 RUB

2023 HNL to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the HNL to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 6, valuing the pair at 4.1136. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 15, dropping to 2.6831.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.4305 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.8366 to the December average rate of 3.6847, the exchange rate registered a net change of 29.90% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 4.1136 was down 29.14% compared to the 2022 peak of 5.8054, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 HNL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 20,568 RUB
2022 Average 14,206 RUB
Yearly Trough Low 13,415 RUB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 7,152.65 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

4.0386
2.7274
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HNL to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.1346, compared to 3.7937 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.6591 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.1346
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.7937

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was October, with a trading range of 0.3557 RUB (High: 4.1136 / Low: 3.7579). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1243 RUB (High: 3.1655 / Low: 3.0413).

October Spread (Volatile) ±0.3557
March Spread (Stable) ±0.1243

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.2580 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2580

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2023: 3.9293) against the same month in 2022 (average: 2.4991), the exchange rate shifted by +1.4302 (+57.23%).

2023 Avg (October) 3.9293
2022 Avg (October) 2.4991

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 2.9843 2.6831 2.8366
February 3.0851 2.8353 2.9826
March 3.1655 3.0413 3.0997
April 3.3340 3.1438 3.2947
May 3.2980 3.0888 3.2142
June 3.5933 3.2648 3.3797
July 3.7555 3.5933 3.6793
August 4.0651 3.7525 3.8927
September 3.9711 3.8216 3.9049
October 4.1136 3.7579 3.9293
November 3.7908 3.5716 3.6714
December 3.7557 3.5791 3.6847