YEARLY HIGH
3.2424 RUB
YEARLY LOW
2.6639 RUB
YEARLY AVERAGE
2.8955 RUB

2026 HNL to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the HNL to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 19, valuing the pair at 3.2424. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 27, dropping to 2.6639.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5784 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.9543 to the December average rate of 3.0075, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.80% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 3.2424 was down 27.56% compared to the 2025 peak of 4.4760, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 HNL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 16,212 RUB
2025 Average 16,114 RUB
Yearly Trough Low 13,320 RUB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,892.14 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

3.0743
2.6609
JanuMarcMayJuly

HNL to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.8757, compared to 2.9550 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0794 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.8757
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.9550

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was March, with a trading range of 0.3219 RUB (High: 3.2424 / Low: 2.9204). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0526 RUB (High: 2.9286 / Low: 2.8760).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.3219
February Spread (Stable) ±0.0526

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.2000 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2000

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2026: 3.0398) against the same month in 2025 (average: 3.3559), the exchange rate shifted by -0.3161 (-9.42%).

2026 Avg (March) 3.0398
2025 Avg (March) 3.3559

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.0663 2.8517 2.9543
February 2.9286 2.8760 2.9019
March 3.2424 2.9204 3.0398
April 3.0338 2.8094 2.8954
May 2.8164 2.6639 2.6954
June 2.9470 2.6811 2.7673
July 2.9993 2.8541 2.9026
August 3.0723 2.9671 3.0075