2011 KES to CDF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

11.3042 CDF

YEARLY LOW

8.5307 CDF

YEARLY AVERAGE

10.3215 CDF

2011 KES to CDF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the KES to CDF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 4, valuing the pair at 11.3042. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 11, dropping to 8.5307.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.7736 CDF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 11.1978 to the December average rate of 10.4761, the exchange rate registered a net change of -6.44% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 11.3042 was down 5.11% compared to the 2010 peak of 11.9133, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 56,521 CDF

2010 Average 56,556 CDF

Yearly Trough Low 42,653 CDF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 13,867.79 CDF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

11.4443

8.8593

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to CDF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 10.8417, compared to 9.8014 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.0403 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 10.8417

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 9.8014

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was September, with a trading range of 0.8584 CDF (High: 9.8031 / Low: 8.9447). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1667 CDF (High: 10.9413 / Low: 10.7746).

September Spread (Volatile) ±0.8584

April Spread (Stable) ±0.1667

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between October and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.4991 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.4991

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2011: 11.1978) against the same month in 2010 (average: 11.7930), the exchange rate shifted by -0.5952 (-5.05%).

2011 Avg (January) 11.1978

2010 Avg (January) 11.7930

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	11.3042	11.0013	11.1978
February	11.2976	11.1089	11.2289
March	11.0873	10.6394	10.8341
April	10.9413	10.7746	10.8723
May	10.9648	10.5011	10.7080
June	10.6540	9.8922	10.2089
July	10.2568	9.9852	10.1452
August	9.9944	9.5575	9.8128
September	9.8031	8.9447	9.5204
October	9.2710	8.5307	9.0747
November	10.1511	9.3015	9.7790
December	10.8974	10.0467	10.4761