2012 KES to CDF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

11.2118 CDF

YEARLY LOW

10.4137 CDF

YEARLY AVERAGE

10.8905 CDF

2012 KES to CDF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the KES to CDF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 12, valuing the pair at 11.2118. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 10, dropping to 10.4137.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.7981 CDF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 10.5889 to the December average rate of 10.7658, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.67% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 11.2118 was down 0.82% compared to the 2011 peak of 11.3042, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 56,059 CDF

2011 Average 51,583 CDF

Yearly Trough Low 52,069 CDF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,990.40 CDF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

11.1025

10.5422

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to CDF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 10.8950, compared to 10.8860 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0091 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 10.8950

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 10.8860

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was June, with a trading range of 0.5268 CDF (High: 11.1302 / Low: 10.6035). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0630 CDF (High: 10.8984 / Low: 10.8353).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.5268

October Spread (Stable) ±0.0630

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.1494 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1494

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2012: 11.0558) against the same month in 2011 (average: 10.8341), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2216 (+2.05%).

2012 Avg (March) 11.0558

2011 Avg (March) 10.8341

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	10.8866	10.4137	10.5889
February	11.2011	10.8845	11.0228
March	11.2118	10.9334	11.0558
April	11.1373	10.9516	11.0186
May	11.0145	10.5455	10.8692
June	11.1302	10.6035	10.8150
July	11.0035	10.8601	10.9513
August	11.0457	10.9368	10.9935
September	10.9990	10.8045	10.9193
October	10.8984	10.8353	10.8640
November	10.8701	10.7779	10.8219
December	10.8858	10.6887	10.7658