2018 KES to CDF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

16.4891 CDF

YEARLY LOW

15.1651 CDF

YEARLY AVERAGE

15.9888 CDF

2018 KES to CDF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the KES to CDF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 26, valuing the pair at 16.4891. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 1, dropping to 15.1651.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.3240 CDF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 15.5653 to the December average rate of 15.9080, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.20% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 16.4891 was up 3.67% compared to the 2017 peak of 15.9050, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 82,445 CDF

2017 Average 70,518 CDF

Yearly Trough Low 75,825 CDF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 6,620.01 CDF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

16.2822

15.5001

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to CDF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 15.9192, compared to 16.0584 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1392 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 15.9192

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 16.0584

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 0.9097 CDF (High: 16.4891 / Low: 15.5794). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0930 CDF (High: 16.0309 / Low: 15.9378).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.9097

June Spread (Stable) ±0.0930

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.2410 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2410

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2018: 16.0986) against the same month in 2017 (average: 14.9740), the exchange rate shifted by +1.1247 (+7.51%).

2018 Avg (July) 16.0986

2017 Avg (July) 14.9740

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	15.7490	15.1651	15.5653
February	16.0531	15.7193	15.8833
March	16.0399	15.9238	15.9861
April	16.1808	15.9075	16.0512
May	16.1184	15.8868	16.0443
June	16.0309	15.9378	15.9850
July	16.4891	15.5794	16.0986
August	16.3109	16.0202	16.1563
September	16.3199	16.0971	16.2170
October	16.2587	15.9033	16.1058
November	16.0716	15.6560	15.8648
December	16.1354	15.6966	15.9080