YEARLY HIGH
10.2176 CDF
YEARLY LOW
8.7382 CDF
YEARLY AVERAGE
9.4566 CDF

2015 KES to CDF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the KES to CDF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 4, valuing the pair at 10.2176. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 7, dropping to 8.7382.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.4794 CDF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 10.1363 to the December average rate of 9.0683, the exchange rate registered a net change of -10.54% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 10.2176 was down 5.34% compared to the 2014 peak of 10.7938, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 51,088 CDF
2014 Average 52,517 CDF
Yearly Trough Low 43,691 CDF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 7,397.11 CDF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

10.2699
8.6675
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to CDF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 9.8898, compared to 9.0234 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.8664 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 9.8898
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 9.0234

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was May, with a trading range of 0.3563 CDF (High: 9.7656 / Low: 9.4093). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0966 CDF (High: 9.1152 / Low: 9.0186).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.3563
November Spread (Stable) ±0.0966

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.3285 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3285

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2015: 10.1363) against the same month in 2014 (average: 10.7145), the exchange rate shifted by -0.5782 (-5.40%).

2015 Avg (January) 10.1363
2014 Avg (January) 10.7145

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 10.2176 10.0344 10.1363
February 10.1728 10.0580 10.1225
March 10.1834 9.9871 10.0906
April 10.0581 9.7656 9.9282
May 9.7656 9.4093 9.5997
June 9.5774 9.3176 9.4614
July 9.3495 9.0097 9.1427
August 9.1688 8.8884 9.0318
September 8.9082 8.7382 8.8010
October 9.1365 8.8862 9.0257
November 9.1152 9.0186 9.0710
December 9.0996 8.9812 9.0683