YEARLY HIGH
16.7600 CDF
YEARLY LOW
15.7550 CDF
YEARLY AVERAGE
16.2073 CDF

2019 KES to CDF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the KES to CDF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 23, valuing the pair at 16.7600. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 25, dropping to 15.7550.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.0050 CDF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 16.0946 to the December average rate of 16.5459, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.80% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 16.7600 was up 1.64% compared to the 2018 peak of 16.4891, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 83,800 CDF
2018 Average 79,946 CDF
Yearly Trough Low 78,775 CDF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 5,025.11 CDF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

16.5967
15.9861
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to CDF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 16.2462, compared to 16.1683 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0779 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 16.2462
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 16.1683

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was December, with a trading range of 0.5493 CDF (High: 16.7600 / Low: 16.2107). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0831 CDF (High: 16.0793 / Low: 15.9962).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.5493
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0831

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.1863 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1863

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2019: 16.5459) against the same month in 2018 (average: 15.9080), the exchange rate shifted by +0.6379 (+4.01%).

2019 Avg (December) 16.5459
2018 Avg (December) 15.9080

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 16.2911 15.9547 16.0946
February 16.4612 16.2353 16.3438
March 16.4454 16.2116 16.3064
April 16.2907 16.0996 16.2107
May 16.3421 16.1705 16.2513
June 16.4022 16.1513 16.2703
July 16.2037 15.9222 16.0840
August 16.1670 15.7550 16.0459
September 16.0793 15.9962 16.0395
October 16.1334 15.9444 16.0370
November 16.4650 16.0268 16.2578
December 16.7600 16.2107 16.5459