2016 KES to CDF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

11.6660 CDF

YEARLY LOW

9.0074 CDF

YEARLY AVERAGE

9.5343 CDF

2016 KES to CDF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the KES to CDF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 24, valuing the pair at 11.6660. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 11, dropping to 9.0074.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.6586 CDF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 9.0555 to the December average rate of 11.4005, the exchange rate registered a net change of 25.90% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 11.6660 was up 14.18% compared to the 2015 peak of 10.2176, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 58,330 CDF

2015 Average 47,263 CDF

Yearly Trough Low 45,037 CDF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 13,293.06 CDF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

11.6350

8.8210

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to CDF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 9.1602, compared to 9.9084 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.7482 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 9.1602

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 9.9084

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 2.2323 CDF (High: 11.2415 / Low: 9.0092). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0489 CDF (High: 9.1900 / Low: 9.1411).

November Spread (Volatile) ±2.2323

April Spread (Stable) ±0.0489

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 8 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.0560 points.

Longest Streak 8 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0560

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 11.4005) against the same month in 2015 (average: 9.0683), the exchange rate shifted by +2.3322 (+25.72%).

2016 Avg (December) 11.4005

2015 Avg (December) 9.0683

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	9.0895	9.0166	9.0555
February	9.1393	9.0634	9.1046
March	9.1900	9.0786	9.1363
April	9.1900	9.1411	9.1660
May	9.2351	9.1804	9.2092
June	9.4955	9.0074	9.2894
July	9.6558	9.3183	9.3940
August	9.6908	9.5566	9.6324
September	9.6960	9.5891	9.6428
October	9.6802	9.4480	9.5868
November	11.2415	9.0092	9.7939
December	11.6660	11.1033	11.4005