2013 KES to CDF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

11.0670 CDF

YEARLY LOW

10.4564 CDF

YEARLY AVERAGE

10.7141 CDF

2013 KES to CDF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the KES to CDF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 23, valuing the pair at 11.0670. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 12, dropping to 10.4564.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.6106 CDF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 10.6020 to the December average rate of 10.6961, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.89% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 11.0670 was down 1.29% compared to the 2012 peak of 11.2118, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 55,335 CDF

2012 Average 54,449 CDF

Yearly Trough Low 52,282 CDF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,052.77 CDF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

10.9935

10.4757

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to CDF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 10.7618, compared to 10.6663 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0955 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 10.7618

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 10.6663

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was March, with a trading range of 0.2929 CDF (High: 10.8864 / Low: 10.5935). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1224 CDF (High: 10.5788 / Low: 10.4564).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.2929

August Spread (Stable) ±0.1224

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.1714 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1714

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2013: 10.9281) against the same month in 2012 (average: 11.0186), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0905 (-0.82%).

2013 Avg (April) 10.9281

2012 Avg (April) 11.0186

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	10.7227	10.4879	10.6020
February	10.6612	10.4826	10.5189
March	10.8864	10.5935	10.7918
April	11.0670	10.7777	10.9281
May	11.0629	10.8023	10.9504
June	10.8704	10.6753	10.7798
July	10.7361	10.5151	10.6084
August	10.5788	10.4564	10.5256
September	10.6761	10.5423	10.5896
October	10.9160	10.6458	10.8515
November	10.8749	10.5869	10.7267
December	10.8028	10.6269	10.6961