2014 KES to CDF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

10.7938 CDF

YEARLY LOW

10.1886 CDF

YEARLY AVERAGE

10.5045 CDF

2014 KES to CDF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the KES to CDF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 23, valuing the pair at 10.7938. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 31, dropping to 10.1886.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.6051 CDF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 10.7145 to the December average rate of 10.2380, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.45% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 10.7938 was down 2.47% compared to the 2013 peak of 11.0670, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 53,969 CDF

2013 Average 53,576 CDF

Yearly Trough Low 50,943 CDF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,025.63 CDF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

10.7622

10.1904

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to CDF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 10.6306, compared to 10.3784 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2522 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 10.6306

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 10.3784

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was January, with a trading range of 0.1855 CDF (High: 10.7938 / Low: 10.6083). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0659 CDF (High: 10.5418 / Low: 10.4759).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.1855

July Spread (Stable) ±0.0659

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2014. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0863 points.

Longest Streak 0 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0863

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2014: 10.7145) against the same month in 2013 (average: 10.6020), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1126 (+1.06%).

2014 Avg (January) 10.7145

2013 Avg (January) 10.6020

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	10.7938	10.6083	10.7145
February	10.7301	10.6345	10.6906
March	10.6972	10.6093	10.6627
April	10.6664	10.5874	10.6346
May	10.6237	10.4743	10.5483
June	10.5668	10.4678	10.5326
July	10.5418	10.4759	10.5150
August	10.5266	10.3995	10.4718
September	10.4751	10.3299	10.3956
October	10.4038	10.2943	10.3619
November	10.3473	10.2417	10.2878
December	10.2636	10.1886	10.2380