YEARLY HIGH
8.3043 UGX
YEARLY LOW
6.1398 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
7.1399 UGX

2011 KMF to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the KMF to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 29, valuing the pair at 8.3043. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 10, dropping to 6.1398.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.1645 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.3277 to the December average rate of 6.5645, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.74% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 8.3043 was up 25.39% compared to the 2010 peak of 6.6230, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KMF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 41,521 UGX
2010 Average 29,351 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 30,699 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 10,822.48 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

8.1982
6.1576
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KMF to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 6.7956, compared to 7.4843 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.6887 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 6.7956
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 7.4843

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was June, with a trading range of 0.8718 UGX (High: 7.8475 / Low: 6.9757). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2347 UGX (High: 6.6336 / Low: 6.3989).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.8718
February Spread (Stable) ±0.2347

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 7 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.7032 points.

Longest Streak 7 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.7032

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2011: 8.0281) against the same month in 2010 (average: 5.8416), the exchange rate shifted by +2.1865 (+37.43%).

2011 Avg (August) 8.0281
2010 Avg (August) 5.8416

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 6.5025 6.1398 6.3277
February 6.6336 6.3989 6.5108
March 6.9578 6.6481 6.8221
April 7.1910 6.8535 6.9688
May 7.2146 6.7969 6.9744
June 7.8475 6.9757 7.1696
July 7.6490 7.3476 7.5137
August 8.3043 7.6215 8.0281
September 8.1810 7.7076 7.8872
October 8.0729 7.3489 7.8078
November 7.3769 6.8614 7.1046
December 6.9850 6.2501 6.5645