YEARLY HIGH
7.3705 UGX
YEARLY LOW
6.7289 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
7.0065 UGX

2014 KMF to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the KMF to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 13, valuing the pair at 7.3705. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 4, dropping to 6.7289.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.6416 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.9245 to the December average rate of 6.9164, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.12% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 7.3705 was down 0.56% compared to the 2013 peak of 7.4121, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KMF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 36,852 UGX
2013 Average 34,891 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 33,644 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,207.94 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

7.2818
6.8114
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KMF to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 7.0266, compared to 6.9864 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0401 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 7.0266
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 6.9864

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was October, with a trading range of 0.2785 UGX (High: 7.0074 / Low: 6.7289). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1151 UGX (High: 7.1210 / Low: 7.0059).

October Spread (Volatile) ±0.2785
May Spread (Stable) ±0.1151

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.2010 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2010

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2014: 7.2426) against the same month in 2013 (average: 6.8779), the exchange rate shifted by +0.3647 (+5.30%).

2014 Avg (July) 7.2426
2013 Avg (July) 6.8779

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 7.0657 6.8057 6.9245
February 7.0633 6.7896 6.8506
March 7.2096 7.0230 7.1173
April 7.1480 7.0285 7.0878
May 7.1210 7.0059 7.0594
June 7.2225 7.0381 7.1198
July 7.3705 7.1375 7.2426
August 7.1423 6.9751 7.0721
September 7.0050 6.8067 6.8711
October 7.0074 6.7289 6.8894
November 7.0283 6.7876 6.9269
December 7.0626 6.8143 6.9164