YEARLY HIGH
8.3202 UGX
YEARLY LOW
7.5085 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
7.9018 UGX

2022 KMF to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2022

During 2022, the KMF to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 29, valuing the pair at 8.3202. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 27, dropping to 7.5085.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.8117 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 8.1188 to the December average rate of 7.9321, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.30% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2022 high of 8.3202 was down 9.83% compared to the 2021 peak of 9.2275, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KMF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 41,601 UGX
2021 Average 43,004 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 37,543 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,058.34 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2022.

8.1667
7.5914
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KMF to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 7.9814, compared to 7.8222 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1593 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 7.9814
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 7.8222

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2022 was May, with a trading range of 0.7046 UGX (High: 8.2356 / Low: 7.5311). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1762 UGX (High: 8.1422 / Low: 7.9659).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.7046
March Spread (Stable) ±0.1762

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between October and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.2324 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2324

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2022: 8.0221) against the same month in 2021 (average: 8.5255), the exchange rate shifted by -0.5034 (-5.90%).

2022 Avg (July) 8.0221
2021 Avg (July) 8.5255

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 8.2136 7.9432 8.1188
February 8.2285 7.9861 8.1022
March 8.1422 7.9659 8.0279
April 8.0313 7.5673 7.7956
May 8.2356 7.5311 7.7874
June 8.2228 7.9228 8.0568
July 8.3202 7.8946 8.0221
August 8.0858 7.6657 7.8864
September 7.8539 7.5085 7.6907
October 7.8102 7.5362 7.6394
November 7.8940 7.5186 7.7622
December 8.1085 7.8342 7.9321