YEARLY HIGH
7.4121 UGX
YEARLY LOW
6.7037 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
6.9795 UGX

2013 KMF to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the KMF to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 3, valuing the pair at 7.4121. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 19, dropping to 6.7037.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.7083 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 7.2392 to the December average rate of 6.9962, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.36% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 7.4121 was up 2.71% compared to the 2012 peak of 7.2167, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KMF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 37,060 UGX
2012 Average 32,702 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 33,519 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,541.62 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

7.2815
6.7738
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KMF to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 6.9998, compared to 6.9591 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0408 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 6.9998
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 6.9591

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was February, with a trading range of 0.3583 UGX (High: 7.4121 / Low: 7.0538). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1257 UGX (High: 7.0955 / Low: 6.9698).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.3583
October Spread (Stable) ±0.1257

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2013. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.2828 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2828

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2013: 7.2262) against the same month in 2012 (average: 6.2785), the exchange rate shifted by +0.9477 (+15.09%).

2013 Avg (February) 7.2262
2012 Avg (February) 6.2785

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 7.3254 7.1651 7.2392
February 7.4121 7.0538 7.2262
March 7.0590 6.7401 6.9434
April 6.9403 6.7064 6.8205
May 6.9431 6.7037 6.8161
June 7.0578 6.8299 6.9536
July 6.9972 6.7394 6.8779
August 7.0607 6.9109 6.9771
September 7.0411 6.9153 6.9592
October 7.0955 6.9698 7.0271
November 6.9824 6.8455 6.9171
December 7.0860 6.9541 6.9962