YEARLY HIGH
8.7089 UGX
YEARLY LOW
0.1655 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
8.4025 UGX

2019 KMF to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the KMF to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 10, valuing the pair at 8.7089. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 23, dropping to 0.1655.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 8.5434 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 8.5859 to the December average rate of 8.2857, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.50% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 8.7089 was down 6.17% compared to the 2018 peak of 9.2820, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KMF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 43,544 UGX
2018 Average 44,565 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 828 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 42,716.83 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

8.6290
8.1125
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KMF to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 8.5352, compared to 8.2697 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2655 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 8.5352
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 8.2697

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was July, with a trading range of 8.4088 UGX (High: 8.5743 / Low: 0.1655). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1026 UGX (High: 8.2717 / Low: 8.1691).

July Spread (Volatile) ±8.4088
September Spread (Stable) ±0.1026

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.4088 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.4088

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 8.5859) against the same month in 2018 (average: 9.0219), the exchange rate shifted by -0.4360 (-4.83%).

2019 Avg (January) 8.5859
2018 Avg (January) 9.0219

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 8.7089 8.4789 8.5859
February 8.5637 8.4061 8.4660
March 8.5572 8.4382 8.5060
April 8.6029 8.4638 8.5304
May 8.6165 8.4974 8.5589
June 8.6630 8.4538 8.5643
July 8.5743 0.1655 8.1555
August 8.4233 8.2354 8.3662
September 8.2717 8.1691 8.2142
October 8.4113 8.1544 8.3022
November 8.3822 8.2525 8.2945
December 8.3583 8.2437 8.2857