YEARLY HIGH
9.1223 UGX
YEARLY LOW
0.1787 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
8.5868 UGX

2020 KMF to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the KMF to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 3, valuing the pair at 9.1223. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 15, dropping to 0.1787.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 8.9435 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 8.2941 to the December average rate of 8.7732, the exchange rate registered a net change of 5.78% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 9.1223 was up 4.75% compared to the 2019 peak of 8.7089, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KMF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 45,611 UGX
2019 Average 42,010 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 894 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 44,717.73 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

8.9963
8.0749
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KMF to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 8.3616, compared to 8.8119 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.4503 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 8.3616
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 8.8119

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was December, with a trading range of 8.9435 UGX (High: 9.1223 / Low: 0.1787). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1512 UGX (High: 8.9633 / Low: 8.8121).

December Spread (Volatile) ±8.9435
October Spread (Stable) ±0.1512

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.1463 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1463

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2020: 8.7732) against the same month in 2019 (average: 8.2857), the exchange rate shifted by +0.4875 (+5.88%).

2020 Avg (December) 8.7732
2019 Avg (December) 8.2857

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 8.4285 8.2184 8.2941
February 8.2840 8.0282 8.1517
March 8.6318 8.2840 8.4367
April 8.4813 8.2474 8.3424
May 8.5156 8.3059 8.3971
June 8.6711 8.4512 8.5478
July 8.8216 8.4719 8.6084
August 8.9206 8.7669 8.8446
September 8.9224 8.7379 8.8446
October 8.9633 8.8121 8.8811
November 9.0248 8.8244 8.9195
December 9.1223 0.1787 8.7732