2012 KMF to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

7.2167 UGX

YEARLY LOW

6.0840 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

6.5396 UGX

2012 KMF to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the KMF to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 31, valuing the pair at 7.2167. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 18, dropping to 6.0840.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.1327 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.3266 to the December average rate of 7.1222, the exchange rate registered a net change of 12.58% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 7.2167 was down 13.10% compared to the 2011 peak of 8.3043, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KMF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 36,083 UGX

2011 Average 35,718 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 30,420 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 5,663.38 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

7.2161

6.0896

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KMF to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 6.4581, compared to 6.6210 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1629 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 6.4581

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 6.6210

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was February, with a trading range of 0.5128 UGX (High: 6.6646 / Low: 6.1519). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1374 UGX (High: 7.2167 / Low: 7.0793).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.5128

December Spread (Stable) ±0.1374

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.2432 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2432

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2012: 7.1222) against the same month in 2011 (average: 6.5645), the exchange rate shifted by +0.5577 (+8.50%).

2012 Avg (December) 7.1222

2011 Avg (December) 6.5645

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	6.5279	6.2009	6.3266
February	6.6646	6.1519	6.2785
March	6.8808	6.5350	6.6634
April	6.7793	6.5937	6.6953
May	6.7473	6.2733	6.4521
June	6.4140	6.2475	6.3328
July	6.4246	6.0840	6.1835
August	6.3593	6.1931	6.2540
September	6.6899	6.3319	6.5238
October	6.8652	6.7027	6.8086
November	7.1010	6.7109	6.8341
December	7.2167	7.0793	7.1222