YEARLY HIGH
9.3267 UGX
YEARLY LOW
7.6502 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
8.3004 UGX

2017 KMF to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2017

During 2017, the KMF to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 18, valuing the pair at 9.3267. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 22, dropping to 7.6502.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.6765 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 7.8135 to the December average rate of 8.7211, the exchange rate registered a net change of 11.62% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2017 high of 9.3267 was up 17.32% compared to the 2016 peak of 7.9500, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KMF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 46,633 UGX
2016 Average 38,515 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 38,251 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 8,382.33 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2017.

8.8356
7.6593
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KMF to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 7.9370, compared to 8.6638 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.7268 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 7.9370
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 8.6638

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2017 was August, with a trading range of 0.7584 UGX (High: 9.3267 / Low: 8.5683). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1742 UGX (High: 8.7646 / Low: 8.5904).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.7584
October Spread (Stable) ±0.1742

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 7 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0561 points.

Longest Streak 7 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0561

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2017: 8.7209) against the same month in 2016 (average: 7.6005), the exchange rate shifted by +1.1204 (+14.74%).

2017 Avg (August) 8.7209
2016 Avg (August) 7.6005

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 7.8932 7.7146 7.8135
February 7.9108 7.6502 7.7573
March 7.9854 7.6552 7.8350
April 8.1138 7.8104 7.8934
May 8.2798 8.0213 8.1380
June 8.3159 8.1230 8.1850
July 8.7111 8.2720 8.4447
August 9.3267 8.5683 8.7209
September 8.8607 8.6017 8.7376
October 8.7646 8.5904 8.6902
November 8.8128 8.5574 8.6685
December 8.8518 8.5903 8.7211