YEARLY HIGH
8.5251 UGX
YEARLY LOW
6.2131 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
7.2985 UGX

2015 KMF to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the KMF to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 14, valuing the pair at 8.5251. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 15, dropping to 6.2131.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.3120 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.7423 to the December average rate of 7.4725, the exchange rate registered a net change of 10.83% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 8.5251 was up 15.67% compared to the 2014 peak of 7.3705, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KMF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 42,626 UGX
2014 Average 35,039 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 31,066 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 11,560.08 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

8.5424
6.2899
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KMF to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 6.7490, compared to 7.8480 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.0991 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 6.7490
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 7.8480

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was November, with a trading range of 0.7295 UGX (High: 7.9307 / Low: 7.2012). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0986 UGX (High: 6.6703 / Low: 6.5717).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.7295
February Spread (Stable) ±0.0986

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.8311 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.8311

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2015: 8.3096) against the same month in 2014 (average: 6.8894), the exchange rate shifted by +1.4201 (+20.61%).

2015 Avg (October) 8.3096
2014 Avg (October) 6.8894

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 6.9069 6.5050 6.7423
February 6.6703 6.5717 6.6216
March 6.6233 6.2131 6.4776
April 6.7952 6.4259 6.5723
May 6.9535 6.6989 6.8149
June 7.5680 6.8411 7.2651
July 7.9099 7.3048 7.4892
August 8.2866 7.6415 7.9837
September 8.4391 8.2972 8.3547
October 8.5251 7.8898 8.3096
November 7.9307 7.2012 7.4785
December 7.8110 7.1955 7.4725