YEARLY HIGH
8.5118 UGX
YEARLY LOW
7.9155 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
8.1755 UGX

2023 KMF to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the KMF to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 28, valuing the pair at 8.5118. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 7, dropping to 7.9155.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5963 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 8.0779 to the December average rate of 8.3833, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.78% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 8.5118 was up 2.30% compared to the 2022 peak of 8.3202, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KMF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 42,559 UGX
2022 Average 39,505 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 39,578 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,981.40 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

8.4203
7.9762
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KMF to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 8.1517, compared to 8.1993 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0476 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 8.1517
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 8.1993

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was March, with a trading range of 0.4634 UGX (High: 8.3789 / Low: 7.9155). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1543 UGX (High: 8.2306 / Low: 8.0763).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.4634
June Spread (Stable) ±0.1543

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.1154 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1154

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2023: 8.3833) against the same month in 2022 (average: 7.9321), the exchange rate shifted by +0.4512 (+5.69%).

2023 Avg (December) 8.3833
2022 Avg (December) 7.9321

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 8.1674 7.9731 8.0779
February 8.2390 7.9228 8.0132
March 8.3789 7.9155 8.1136
April 8.4452 8.2356 8.3380
May 8.3551 8.1140 8.2227
June 8.2306 8.0763 8.1451
July 8.3728 8.0680 8.2179
August 8.3297 7.9685 8.1532
September 8.2108 8.0086 8.1120
October 8.1543 7.9466 8.0489
November 8.5099 8.0869 8.2806
December 8.5118 8.2351 8.3833